in reply to xavier666

It's practically unrealistic. Even for a distro governed by a US-based company there are a lot of download mirrors, so restricting downloads from all of them is extremely difficult (and anyway unrestricted foreign mirrors still could synchronize with official ones via VPN). Forbidding foreign developers would require identification of each developer, but few distros do this (Debian does, but e.g. Fedora does not).

Developers would understand that such restrictions effectively kill a project, so they would shirk them.

in reply to xavier666

Canonical? the US could try but Canonical isn't a US company so far as I know. The attempt would probably just piss off their "home" nation. That would be the UK, I think.

Red Hat is another story though. It's owned by IBM which is a US company, which means it is, in theory, obliged to obey any lawful order of the US government. I say "in theory" because there is a long history of companies here saying "Yes sir, Yes sir, Three bags full sir." and then doing whatever they want when no one is looking anymore. For examples see Facebook, Google, OpenAI, Exxon IBM, Coke, Ford and... Well just about every company that has been around for more than 20 years and most small businesses to boot.

Practically speaking, though. These companies are based around open source projects whose source code has been widely distributed. If you need to, (or hell, even if you just want to) fork them, rename the project to avoid trademarks, and move on. Whether you flip Uncle Sam the bird as you do so, your call.

in reply to xavier666

Canonical is UK based, so scrub that.

But Redhat, Rocky, Alma are all owned by US legal entities and can absolutely be legally forced to do as you describe.

Technically blocked is something else, mind. We're clever, resourceful and motivated people and US laws wouldn't directly affect us.

However - you're thinking small. US influence of IT is massive. Routers, servers, hardware of all levels. The most enterprise level software is US led. All of these things can be restricted, or tarriffed heavily, or sanctioned entirely. If the US wants to hurt the rest of the world, it just has to tell Broadcom to turn off vmware outside of America. Ditto Cisco, Ditto Dell, Ditto... etc etc. Sure, it would be illegal, but does the American government care about that?

Anyone telling you that "Y won't happen because it's unthinkable" clearly hasn't been paying attention this year.

This entry was edited (1 year ago)
in reply to xavier666

in reply to xavier666

Whether or not they are US based entities I think is moot since several developers have already been booted from kernel development due to their affiliations largely at the behest of the US.

Also if they try prevent downloads it would have the interesting side affect that: all the folks out there seeding and torrenting Linux ISOs might have to now also claim they only share the un-embargoed ones, wink.

in reply to xavier666

Compete with what ? I want to see a decent budget and at least 5 year plan first. The scenario is ridiculous, each distribution have so many mirrors that you can't just ban internet, baning development is even more unrealistic given the nature of linux development. What they gonna do, ban email ? git-scm.com/docs/git-send-emai…
in reply to xavier666

They can for red hat but canonical is (or at least I think it is) South African

Either way, it doesn't matter, it's open source software so we'll happily download it somewhere else. loads of distress to choose from

Trying to force other countries to comply? Well the US could do that 2 years ago but since Trump utterly obliterated all of its soft power it has no way of enforcing that beyond threatening with tarrics (and we all know how well that has worked) or a full on invasion which will be bad for said country but as soon as the inevitable body bags come crashing back into the country, it would kill this administration

in reply to Kanedias

Yeah no, Putin is a different story

He doesn't give a shit about dead soldiers in body bags. Almost noone in Russia sees that, or if they do they'll be told som lie about it. Its much simpler than in the US

You know what's not simpler? Demographics. As I recently read somewhere, demographics is like a freight train, slow, but all of the sudden you hear this horn bare and you're splattered under it.

Putin lost now about a million men of working age. That is a huge gash that will come back to haunt Russia. Not Putin, mind you, he'll be dead and gone within a few years. Russia, though, is thoroughly fucked for the next decades. It already has low population issues before, and their demographics chart at this point is a fucking rollercoaster. Their population is already relatively old, and with the loss of about a million men, in a country largely dependent on mineral extraction and sale, it will be ugly.

in reply to Phoenixz

He's losing men over 50 years old that are left out and are garbage of society. They wouldn't be participating in any demographic activities anyway.

I bet there are millions of Americans like this too. Coal miners who lost the job, casino players, heavy drinkers. For a hefty sum of money and a chance to be important again they'd do anything. You really underestimate how quick they can be turned into a cannon fodder and how little the society will miss them.

Source: I lived in Russia.

This entry was edited (1 year ago)